A purchasing power preserving bond
May. 21st, 2014 09:27 pmSo I was once again wishing it was possible to purchase some sort of earthquake bonds to direct money to the rebuild effort her in Christchurch*, and I came up with a bond variant. Maybe this does already exist out there in some form, I'm not investment-savvy enough to know.
Regular bonds you pay the initial amount and then they pay a predictable regular amount in interest; returning the initial sum on maturity (which in the mean time has (probably) decreased in real value). Freeing up this cash early means selling the bond on the secondary market which could go well or poorly.
- The debt immediately starts incurring a cost, but a reliable and predictable one, on the issuer.
I am envisaging a bond where instead of paying out the face value of the bond is guaranteed to increase by inflation plus 1-4% of the original (or inflation adjusted original) sum per year. I'd set maturity so as to to make the bond unlikely to more than double in real value. The bond could be cashed up at any time for it's face value (presumably requiring some period of notice).
- Much like a term deposit or interest-bearing savings account but with a more stable return.
- There might be a small secondary market for people who can't wait for the notification period but I'd expect the prices on this to hew pretty closely to the face value.
- These bonds carry the risk of a "run" on the issuer where many of them are cashed at once, although a suitable cause in the fine print should provide some protection for the issuer. This is why I think they are only suitable for highly stable entities such as local councils.
These seem to fall somewhere between regular bonds and "Bonus Bonds" where you can get your money back at any time but any return on your investment is a lottery (literally).
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* I calculate they would get about my rates again out of me, per year. Although rates are about to change next period, so hang fire on that.
Regular bonds you pay the initial amount and then they pay a predictable regular amount in interest; returning the initial sum on maturity (which in the mean time has (probably) decreased in real value). Freeing up this cash early means selling the bond on the secondary market which could go well or poorly.
- The debt immediately starts incurring a cost, but a reliable and predictable one, on the issuer.
I am envisaging a bond where instead of paying out the face value of the bond is guaranteed to increase by inflation plus 1-4% of the original (or inflation adjusted original) sum per year. I'd set maturity so as to to make the bond unlikely to more than double in real value. The bond could be cashed up at any time for it's face value (presumably requiring some period of notice).
- Much like a term deposit or interest-bearing savings account but with a more stable return.
- There might be a small secondary market for people who can't wait for the notification period but I'd expect the prices on this to hew pretty closely to the face value.
- These bonds carry the risk of a "run" on the issuer where many of them are cashed at once, although a suitable cause in the fine print should provide some protection for the issuer. This is why I think they are only suitable for highly stable entities such as local councils.
These seem to fall somewhere between regular bonds and "Bonus Bonds" where you can get your money back at any time but any return on your investment is a lottery (literally).
~~~
* I calculate they would get about my rates again out of me, per year. Although rates are about to change next period, so hang fire on that.